The ARCA SoCal Cap Rate Index · Q2 2026

The number the market checks every quarter.

Where California priced this quarter, set against the U.S. national average. Multifamily, office, retail, and industrial, sourced from CoStar SaleComp, published by ARCA on the 15th of the month following each quarter-end.

Multifamily
5.70%
CA
7.00%
US
▼ 130 bps tighter
Office
6.60%
CA
7.80%
US
▼ 120 bps tighter
Retail
6.30%
CA
7.00%
US
▼ 70 bps tighter
Industrial
6.10%
CA
7.30%
US
▼ 120 bps tighter
View methodology
Source: CoStar SaleComp · Updated September 2026 · Next: October 15, 2026

California — trailing six quarters

Average actual cap rate by asset class. Sourced quarterly from CoStar SaleComp closed-transaction data filtered to California.

Asset Class2025 Q22025 Q32025 Q42026 Q12026 Q22026 Q3 QTD
Multifamily5.50%5.50%5.70%5.70%5.70%5.70%
Office6.50%6.60%6.90%6.70%6.60%7.70%
Retail6.00%6.10%5.90%5.90%6.30%6.30%
Industrial6.20%6.00%5.80%6.10%6.10%5.60%

United States — trailing six quarters

National average for the same period, used as the baseline for the California spread.

Asset Class2025 Q22025 Q32025 Q42026 Q12026 Q22026 Q3 QTD
Multifamily7.10%7.10%7.10%7.10%7.00%7.10%
Office7.70%7.80%7.80%7.60%7.80%7.60%
Retail7.10%7.10%6.90%7.00%7.00%6.80%
Industrial7.40%7.30%7.30%7.40%7.30%7.30%

The spread — California vs. United States (bps)

Negative numbers mean California is pricing tighter than the U.S. (premium pricing). Positive means California is pricing wider (a discount). The trajectory of each row is the story.

Asset Class2025 Q22025 Q32025 Q42026 Q12026 Q22026 Q3 QTD
Multifamily-160 bps-160 bps-140 bps-140 bps-130 bps-140 bps
Office-120 bps-120 bps-90 bps-90 bps-120 bps+10 bps
Retail-110 bps-100 bps-100 bps-110 bps-70 bps-50 bps
Industrial-120 bps-130 bps-150 bps-130 bps-120 bps-170 bps

What we’re seeing in Q2 2026

Multifamily continues to price at a structural premium in California, 130 basis points inside the U.S. average, reinforced by persistent supply constraints and rent fundamentals. Office sits 120 bps tighter than the national set, which repriced wider on distressed product while California held its coastal bid. Retail is 70 bps tighter as California grocery-anchored and street assets held firmer than the U.S. Industrial rounds out the group at 120 bps tighter, with coastal infill scarcity keeping California pricing well inside the national average.

California — transaction volume by quarter

Sample size matters. Below is the count of closed transactions feeding each quarter’s California average.

Asset Class2025 Q22025 Q32025 Q42026 Q12026 Q22026 Q3 QTD
Multifamily14651425167511001403861
Office750765895742768480
Retail13111397146813741445870
Industrial787795899705877508

The ARCA SoCal Cap Rate Index is published quarterly. Next release: October 15, 2026 (Q3 2026 data).
Questions on methodology? Read the full methodology or contact our research desk.

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